WTI January crude oil futures closed down 0.27 USD, or 0.38% to 70.02 USD/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 2.28% at $3.4550 per million british thermal unit.The 10-year yield of US debt rose more than 1% to 4.316.Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".
Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)White House: Biden's approval of an aid program to Ukraine will provide more air defense systems, etc. On December 12, local time, John Kirby, strategic communication coordinator of the US White House National Security Council, said at the White House briefing that day that US President Biden approved a new Ukrainian security assistance program on the 12 th, which will provide Ukraine with more air defense systems, artillery, drones and armored vehicles. Kirby said that this is the 72nd such material deployment assistance announced by the United States, and the United States will continue to provide additional aid packages until the end of the current government.The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.23% overnight at 20,219.000 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index closed down 1.41% at 4,556.00 points overnight.
There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)New york Fed: Neil will be a senior consultant until he leaves.Bitcoin fell below $100,000/piece, down 1.15% in the day.